News Flashes The split personality war

The split personality war

On 28 February, the United States (US) and Israel launched a wide range of coordinated strikes on the Iranian military as well as political targets. Iran responded shortly thereafter with attacks across the Gulf States and Israel. According to The Economist, Israel’s objective in the war is clear: to eliminate the threat posed by Iran’s…

News Flashes What a difference a year makes

What a difference a year makes

Last year, South Africa’s National Budget Speech was mired in controversy. Disagreements among parties in the Government of National Unity (GNU) over a proposed two percentage point increase in VAT delayed the presentation of the final budget and rattled markets. Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana’s National Budget Speech this year offered a striking contrast to that…

News Flashes Hidden currents

Hidden currents

For investors who simply follow the indices, it may look as if equities markets are taking a breather during the early months of 2026. The S&P 500 is essentially flat for the year-to-date, a striking contrast to a wild ride in 2025 that ended with the index up 17.9% to record its third consecutive year…

News Flashes The AI scare trade

The AI scare trade

Fears of an Artificial Intelligence (AI) apocalypse were once the stuff of science fiction. Now, investors are contemplating whether the launch of powerful new AI tools from Anthropic, one of the world’s leading AI startups, will lead to the extinction of many well-established companies and sectors in the knowledge economy. The new functionality for Anthropic’s…

News Flashes Regime change at the Fed

Regime change at the Fed

US President Donald Trump last week named Kevin Warsh as his preferred chair for the US Federal Reserve at a fraught moment for monetary policy. Warsh’s nomination comes at a time when many market participants are concerned about the Fed’s independence and the pressure Trump has placed on the central bank to slash interest rates.…

News Flashes The new age of asset inflation?

The new age of asset inflation?

The US dollar started 2026 in much the same way as it spent most of last year: under pressure. The American greenback had, until Wednesday, lost around 1.9% of its value against a basket of developed-market peers, and although having retraced 0.5% as of Friday, extended a slide that has gathered pace since Donald Trump…

News Flashes At the table or on the menu

“At the table or on the menu”

The world’s political and business elite gathered in Davos, Switzerland, this week, raising questions about who sets the rules and who is forced to live with them during this time of geopolitical realignment. US President Donald Trump made himself the centre of attention before the event even started with a renewed demand that the US…

News Flashes Power pivots east

Power pivots east

Over the past year, we have written extensively about how US President Donald Trump is remaking the American economy and reshaping the world order. An unintended consequence of his America-first economic policy and his transactional outlook on foreign affairs may be to help accelerate China’s rise as an economic superpower in the years to come.…

News Flashes In a holding pattern

In a holding pattern

Major indices worldwide entered a holding pattern this week, trading more or less flat following a volatile November. The Nasdaq (+0.6% at the time of writing), S&P 500 (+0.12%), and the Dow Jones Industrial Index (+0.28%) are largely unchanged for the month-to-date, despite a sell-off followed by a sharp snapback in November. After the AI-related…