News flash Artificial intelligence, real disruption

Artificial intelligence, real disruption

Artificial intelligence (AI) isn’t new—the technology sector has been working on it for many years and many of us interact with AI-powered virtual assistants and chatbots like Siri or Alexa every day. But this year, we’re seeing the potential of AI become real as big tech companies and startups race to position themselves at the…

News flash Defying expectations

Defying expectations

In the wake of the banking crisis earlier this month, together with continued concerns about a recessionary environment, we’ve again seen investors behaving in ways that run contrary to expectations this week. Partly explaining this is the fact that earnings for the S&P 500 constituents remain resilient, according to Bloomberg’s consensus forward earnings forecasts. Despite…

News flash Slowly, then all at once

Slowly, then all at once

After another week of high drama for the global banking sector, the world seems reasonably safe from a systemic crisis. Swift action from regulators – and even competing banks – in the wake of the crises at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), First Republic Bank, Silvergate, Signature Bank and Credit Suisse has helped to restore market…

News flash Unexpected Outcomes

Unexpected Outcomes

When we look back at March 2020, financial markets were gripped by Covid- induced panic. The S&P500 Index dropped by a staggering 34% within 5 weeks, registering one of the steepest and fastest falls on record. Yet by the end of the year, markets had staged a dramatic recovery even though a vaccine was not…

News flash Mixed Messages

News Flash – Mixed Messages

Markets don’t react well to mixed messages and volatility was in play this week amid a range of contradictory signals. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell failed to offer clarity about the future direction for inflation and interest rates. On Wednesday, he both scaled back signals that the Fed might hike interest rates more aggressively and indicated…

News flash Adapt or die

News Flash – Adapt or die

The world is in a structural state of flux at the moment—from persistent inflation in the rich world and the war in Ukraine, to South Africa’s ongoing power generation crisis. The pattern of concurrent shocks and interconnected risks we see in the global economy today is described by some as the ‘polycrisis’. Yet the leadership…

News flash Between a rock and a hard place

Between a rock and a hard place

Stock markets remained volatile this week with central banks and policymakers navigating the difficult trade-offs between keeping inflation under control and preventing a severe economic downturn. In the US, markets vacillated as investors balanced robust economic indicators against fears that this same economic strength will provoke the Fed to raise interest rates higher and for…