News flash The SA Government’s metaphorical credit card

The SA Government’s metaphorical credit card

South Africa’s Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana this week presented a Budget that was uninspiring and unremarkable, apart from the announcement of government’s decision to tap into the Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account (GFECRA). The GFECRA reflects movements in the value of the Reserve Bank’s stock of gold, foreign exchange, and forwards or swaps…

News flash Immaculate disinflation

Immaculate disinflation

Following a blockbuster gain of 26% in 2023, the S&P 500 has continued its winning streak in 2024. The index briefly powered to a new record high of 5,000 points on Thursday this week. Markets ignored cautious noises from the Fed about its timetable for interest rate cuts, relishing good earnings from companies in sectors…

News flash Creative destruction in the workforce

Creative destruction in the workforce

2024 got off to a bad start for an estimated 82,300 US workers who were laid off when they returned to work after the festive season, according to data from Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Just a few examples of the companies across industries that downsized their workforces include the likes of American Airlines, Amazon, eBay,…

News flash The two faces of January

The two faces of January

Janus, the Roman god that gives January its time, has two faces: One looking back into the old year, one looking forward into the next. Likewise, this is the season when asset managers, economists, and analysts gaze back at market performance for the previous year and make their predictions about what the upcoming year will…

News flash Fed and the markets in sync

Fed and the markets in sync

Markets look set to end 2023 on a high note, with the Federal Reserve giving its strongest signal to date that the end of the current interest rate tightening cycle is now in sight. Practically every asset class—including equities and corporate bonds—surged yesterday after the Fed indicated that it is projecting more aggressive interest rate…

News flash Slumping dragon, surging tiger

Slumping dragon, surging tiger

India’s stock market topped a total valuation of $4 trillion for the first time on Tuesday this week—on the same day that Moody’s downgraded the outlook for China’s sovereign credit rating. Data released this week also shows that institutional investors have pulled out over $31 billion in stocks and bonds from the Chinese financial system…

News flash From profit inflation to price deflation

From profit inflation to price deflation

Global inflation has been the major theme of the post-COVID-19 years, stoked by supply chain disruptions, high energy prices, and robust consumer spending. Some corporations have been able to bolster margins over the past three years, thanks to consumers building up their cash reserves during the times of lockdown and government stimulus. But, as inflation…