News flash Explaining the equity market correction

Explaining the equity market correction

Equity market corrections are certainly not unusual and are both more frequent and less severe than market crashes. The Nirvana, of course, is when markets move up steadily, such as the period between October 2016 and January 2018 when the S&P experienced positive returns for fifteen consecutive months, leading to a cumulative return of 36%…

Opinion Be cautious becoming complacent with current rand strength

Be cautious in becoming complacent with current rand strength

A consideration expressed by almost all our domestic clients when progressing their wealth externalisation strategies, is around whether the prevailing exchange rate is at an acceptable level for currency conversion purposes. In addressing this issue, we consider many factors including the historic long-term trend line (which empirically illustrates rand depreciation of on average around 5%…

News flash The year of the Fed

The year of the Fed

Early last year, we published a news edition entitled “The year of the vaccine”. Our thesis was that the success (or not) of the vaccine rollouts would determine the timing and extent to which global economies would reopen and normalise. This would, in turn, have a profound impact on the sustainability of the equity market…

News flash Yet another extraordinary year

Yet another extraordinary year

Last week’s introduction to our news flash concluded that “the Omicron variant does not warrant a change in our view that the global economy is on a road – albeit bumpy – to a full recovery”. As coronaviruses constantly mutate, they tend to lose their pathogenic intensity. Omicron seems to be following this path. Those…

News flash Beyond Omicron

Beyond Omicron

Our header may appear presumptuous, but this week the Omicron fear factor that gripped financial markets last Thursday and Friday, appeared to have reversed as we initially witnessed rebounds in both equities and currencies, with subsequent market directionality driven primarily by a focus on the US Fed’s updated outlook. Last week’s global market declines, which…